A review of: Boyce, D. G., Lewis, M. R., and Worm, B. (2010) Global phytoplankton decline over the past century. Nature 466: 591-596
Recent research has suggested that phytoplankton numbers are plummeting. Marine phytoplankton are important marine organisms, strongly influential in major climatic process and biogeochemical cycles as well as being responsible for over half of global primary production. A decline in phytoplankton numbers does not just threaten ocean processes and diversity. Three billion people depend on seafood as part of their diet and nearly one tenth of the world’s population depend on the fisheries industry.
Perhaps the most obvious suggestion for this decline can be found in global warming. More than 90% of the heat retained by the Earth due to greenhouse gases end up in the sea. This causes surface waters to warm and as they do so, become less dense, preventing colder nutrient-filled waters to rise to the surface. This, in turn prevents the waters mixing and so, the phytoplankton in the warmer waters run out of nutrients required for growth. In this article, the authors compile and analyse in-situ chlorophyll (Chl) and ocean transparency measurements collected over the last century, to investigate the changes in phytoplankton biomass and to see whether this is in fact happening.
The authors found that in 59% of the data used, there was a decline in phytoplankton numbers. It was also observed that Chl declined more rapidly, the further the distance from land. They suggest this may be due to an increasing intensity of vertical stratification and ocean warming. The global oceans were then split into ten regions in which to evaluate regional trends and found that there was phytoplankton decline in 8 of the 10 regions. The largest declines were found in the South and equatorial Atlantic regions.
All in all, the analysis suggested that global Chl concentration and therefore phytoplankton biomass had declined over the last century, and has declined by almost 40% since the 1940s. Evidence from the analysis related primarily to climate variation, particularly to rising sea surface temperatures. These results are therefore consistent with the hypothesis that increasing ocean warming is changing the marine ecosystem with implications for both biogeochemical cycling and population numbers. The authors hope that this study provides an incentive for greater observation and remedial action.
Additional reference: Holmes, B. (2012) Too-blue oceans: The invisible famine. New Scientist 2859